Ponte Preta
Juventude
Ponte Preta – Juventude
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 5, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 64 %
- Most likely score
- 0-114 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.71 – 1.77
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Ponte Preta 0-2 Juventude. The model predicted a win for Juventude (64 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 0.71 goals for Ponte Preta and 1.77 for Juventude. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 71 %. Over their last five matches, Ponte Preta took 3 points and Juventude 9 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Ponte Preta, 1 draw, 1 win for Juventude. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 43 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Ponte Preta | 9.50 | 10 % | +32.8 % |
| XDraw | 5.00 | 19 % | +8.4 % |
| 2Juventude | 1.33 | 71 % | -14.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Ponte Preta
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Juventude
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Ponte Preta
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Juventude
- Juventude3-0Ponte Preta
- Juventude0-0Ponte Preta
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Ponte Preta – Juventude?
Final score: Ponte Preta 0-2 Juventude. The model predicted a win for Juventude (64 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Ponte Preta – Juventude?
Our model gives 2 · Juventude a 64 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Ponte Preta win 14 %, draw 22 %, Juventude win 64 %.