Scotland
Slovenia
Scotland – Slovenia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 6, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 52 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.67 – 0.88
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Scotland 1-2 Slovenia. The model predicted a win for Scotland (52 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.67 goals for Scotland and 0.88 for Slovenia. Bookmakers say the same thing: 53 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Scotland took 4 points and Slovenia 5 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Scotland, 1 draw, 0 wins for Slovenia. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Scotland | 1.74 | 53 % | -8.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.50 | 27 % | -9.6 % |
| 2Slovenia | 4.60 | 20 % | +0.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Scotland
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Slovenia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Scotland
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Slovenia
- Slovenia0-0Scotland
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Scotland – Slovenia?
Final score: Scotland 1-2 Slovenia. The model predicted a win for Scotland (52 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Scotland – Slovenia?
Our model gives 1 · Scotland a 52 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Scotland win 52 %, draw 26 %, Slovenia win 22 %.