Moldova
Slovakia
Moldova – Slovakia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 6, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 58 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.03 – 1.69
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Moldova 0-4 Slovakia. The model predicted a win for Slovakia (58 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.03 goals for Moldova and 1.69 for Slovakia. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 68 %. Over their last five matches, Moldova took 6 points and Slovakia 11 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Moldova, 0 draws, 1 win for Slovakia. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Moldova | 7.50 | 12 % | +59.5 % |
| XDraw | 4.70 | 20 % | -2.0 % |
| 2Slovakia | 1.37 | 68 % | -20.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Moldova
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Slovakia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Moldova
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Slovakia
- Slovakia2-0Moldova
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Moldova – Slovakia?
Final score: Moldova 0-4 Slovakia. The model predicted a win for Slovakia (58 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Moldova – Slovakia?
Our model gives 2 · Slovakia a 58 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Moldova win 21 %, draw 21 %, Slovakia win 58 %.