England
Czechia
England – Czechia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 6, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 80 %
- Most likely score
- 2-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.79 – 0.71
The short version
Final score: England 3-0 Czechia. The model predicted a win for England (80 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.79 goals for England and 0.71 for Czechia. Bookmakers say the same thing: 84 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, England took 9 points and Czechia 1 point. In recent meetings: 1 win for England, 0 draws, 0 wins for Czechia. Over 2.5 goals: 68 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1England | 1.10 | 84 % | -11.5 % |
| XDraw | 9.00 | 10 % | +15.1 % |
| 2Czechia | 17.00 | 5 % | +14.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
England
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Czechia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- England
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Czechia
- Czechia0-2England
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of England – Czechia?
Final score: England 3-0 Czechia. The model predicted a win for England (80 %): correct prediction.
Who will win England – Czechia?
Our model gives 1 · England a 80 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: England win 80 %, draw 13 %, Czechia win 7 %.