Albania
San Marino
Albania – San Marino
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 6, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 87 %
- Most likely score
- 3-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 3.15 – 0.52
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Albania 2-1 San Marino. The model predicted a win for Albania (87 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 3-0. It expects 3.15 goals for Albania and 0.52 for San Marino. Bookmakers say the same thing: 91 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Albania took 6 points and San Marino no points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Albania, 0 draws, 0 wins for San Marino. Over 2.5 goals: 71 %. Both teams to score: 39 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Albania | 1.01 | 91 % | -12.1 % |
| XDraw | 16.00 | 6 % | +44.0 % |
| 2San Marino | 31.00 | 3 % | +23.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Albania
- Last 5 matches
- At home
San Marino
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Albania
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- San Marino
- San Marino0-3Albania
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Albania – San Marino?
Final score: Albania 2-1 San Marino. The model predicted a win for Albania (87 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Albania – San Marino?
Our model gives 1 · Albania a 87 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Albania win 87 %, draw 9 %, San Marino win 4 %.