Algeria
Niger
Algeria – Niger
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 6, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 76 %
- Most likely score
- 2-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.44 – 0.68
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Algeria 2-1 Niger. The model predicted a win for Algeria (76 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.44 goals for Algeria and 0.68 for Niger. Bookmakers say the same thing: 78 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Algeria took 8 points and Niger 5 points. Over 2.5 goals: 60 %. Both teams to score: 45 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Algeria | 1.22 | 78 % | -7.2 % |
| XDraw | 6.50 | 15 % | +6.9 % |
| 2Niger | 12.00 | 8 % | -10.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Algeria
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Niger
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Algeria – Niger?
Final score: Algeria 2-1 Niger. The model predicted a win for Algeria (76 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Algeria – Niger?
Our model gives 1 · Algeria a 76 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Algeria win 76 %, draw 16 %, Niger win 7 %.