Russia
Nigeria
Russia – Nigeria
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 5, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 68 %
- Most likely score
- 2-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.28 – 0.78
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59 %
- Both teams to score
- 49 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Russia at home (68 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.28 goals for Russia and 0.78 for Nigeria. No odds are available for this match, so there is nothing to compare the model against. Over their last five matches, Russia took 12 points and Nigeria 7 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Russia, 1 draw, 0 wins for Nigeria. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
No odds available for this match.
Form and statistics
Russia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Nigeria
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Russia
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Nigeria
- Russia1-1Nigeria
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Russia – Nigeria?
Our model gives 1 · Russia a 68 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Russia win 68 %, draw 21 %, Nigeria win 12 %.
What is the most likely score for Russia – Nigeria?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.