Banfield
Rosario Central
Banfield – Rosario Central
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 5, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 0-114 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.83 – 1.46
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Banfield 1-1 Rosario Central. The model predicted a win for Rosario Central (49 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 0.83 goals for Banfield and 1.46 for Rosario Central. Bookmakers say the same thing: 49 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Banfield took 2 points and Rosario Central 8 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Banfield, 1 draw, 1 win for Rosario Central. Over 2.5 goals: 40 %. Both teams to score: 44 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Banfield | 4.10 | 23 % | -15.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.40 | 28 % | +4.1 % |
| 2Rosario Central | 1.90 | 49 % | -7.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Banfield
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Rosario Central
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Banfield
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Rosario Central
- Rosario Central2-1Banfield
- Rosario Central1-1Banfield
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Banfield – Rosario Central?
Final score: Banfield 1-1 Rosario Central. The model predicted a win for Rosario Central (49 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Banfield – Rosario Central?
Our model gives 2 · Rosario Central a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Banfield win 21 %, draw 31 %, Rosario Central win 49 %.