Guatemala
Suriname
Guatemala – Suriname
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 5, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.55 – 1.41
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Guatemala 1-0 Suriname. The model predicted a win for Guatemala (40 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.55 goals for Guatemala and 1.41 for Suriname. Bookmakers say the same thing: 41 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Guatemala took 4 points and Suriname 10 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Guatemala, 2 draws, 0 wins for Suriname. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 60 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Guatemala | 2.25 | 41 % | -9.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.35 | 27 % | -30.5 % |
| 2Suriname | 2.85 | 32 % | +11.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Guatemala
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Suriname
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Guatemala
- 2 draws
- 0 wins
- Suriname
- Suriname0-0Guatemala
- Guatemala3-1Suriname
- Suriname1-1Guatemala
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Guatemala – Suriname?
Final score: Guatemala 1-0 Suriname. The model predicted a win for Guatemala (40 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Guatemala – Suriname?
Our model gives 1 · Guatemala a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Guatemala win 40 %, draw 21 %, Suriname win 39 %.