Grenada
Bonaire
Grenada – Bonaire
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 5, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 48 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.87 – 1.45
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Grenada 1-4 Bonaire. The model predicted a win for Grenada (48 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.87 goals for Grenada and 1.45 for Bonaire. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 63 %. Over their last five matches, Grenada took 3 points and Bonaire 3 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Grenada, 0 draws, 0 wins for Bonaire. Over 2.5 goals: 64 %. Both teams to score: 65 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Grenada | 1.45 | 63 % | -29.8 % |
| XDraw | 4.20 | 22 % | -18.6 % |
| 2Bonaire | 5.75 | 16 % | +85.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Grenada
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Bonaire
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Grenada
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Bonaire
- Bonaire2-3Grenada
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Grenada – Bonaire?
Final score: Grenada 1-4 Bonaire. The model predicted a win for Grenada (48 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Grenada – Bonaire?
Our model gives 1 · Grenada a 48 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Grenada win 48 %, draw 19 %, Bonaire win 32 %.