Martinique
El Salvador
Martinique – El Salvador
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 5, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.67 – 1.14
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Martinique 1-1 El Salvador. The model predicted a win for Martinique (50 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.67 goals for Martinique and 1.14 for El Salvador. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 38 %. Over their last five matches, Martinique took 4 points and El Salvador 4 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Martinique, 1 draw, 2 wins for El Salvador. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Martinique | 2.40 | 38 % | +19.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.30 | 28 % | -28.4 % |
| 2El Salvador | 2.65 | 34 % | -24.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Martinique
- Last 5 matches
- At home
El Salvador
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Martinique
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- El Salvador
- El Salvador3-1Martinique
- Martinique0-1El Salvador
- El Salvador0-0Martinique
- Martinique1-0El Salvador
- El Salvador1-2Martinique
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Martinique – El Salvador?
Final score: Martinique 1-1 El Salvador. The model predicted a win for Martinique (50 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Martinique – El Salvador?
Our model gives 1 · Martinique a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Martinique win 50 %, draw 22 %, El Salvador win 29 %.