Cuba
St. Kitts and Nevis
Cuba – St. Kitts and Nevis
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 5, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 68 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.79 – 1.09
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Cuba 2-2 St. Kitts and Nevis. The model predicted a win for Cuba (68 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.79 goals for Cuba and 1.09 for St. Kitts and Nevis. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 52 %. Over their last five matches, Cuba took 9 points and St. Kitts and Nevis 10 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Cuba, 1 draw, 1 win for St. Kitts and Nevis. Over 2.5 goals: 74 %. Both teams to score: 62 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Cuba | 1.74 | 52 % | +19.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.95 | 23 % | -47.5 % |
| 2St. Kitts and Nevis | 3.70 | 25 % | -32.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Cuba
- Last 5 matches
- At home
St. Kitts and Nevis
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Cuba
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- St. Kitts and Nevis
- St. Kitts and Nevis3-3Cuba
- Cuba4-0St. Kitts and Nevis
- St. Kitts and Nevis2-1Cuba
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Cuba – St. Kitts and Nevis?
Final score: Cuba 2-2 St. Kitts and Nevis. The model predicted a win for Cuba (68 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Cuba – St. Kitts and Nevis?
Our model gives 1 · Cuba a 68 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Cuba win 68 %, draw 13 %, St. Kitts and Nevis win 18 %.