Romania
Sweden
Romania – Sweden
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 5, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.31 – 1.54
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Romania 0-1 Sweden. The model predicted a win for Sweden (42 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.31 goals for Romania and 1.54 for Sweden. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 54 %. Over their last five matches, Romania took 4 points and Sweden 8 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Romania, 0 draws, 1 win for Sweden. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Romania | 4.10 | 23 % | +32.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.95 | 23 % | +0.7 % |
| 2Sweden | 1.71 | 54 % | -28.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Romania
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sweden
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Romania
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Sweden
- Sweden2-1Romania
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Romania – Sweden?
Final score: Romania 0-1 Sweden. The model predicted a win for Sweden (42 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Romania – Sweden?
Our model gives 2 · Sweden a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Romania win 32 %, draw 26 %, Sweden win 42 %.