Northern Ireland
Georgia
Northern Ireland – Georgia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 5, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 47 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.50 – 0.98
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Northern Ireland 0-0 Georgia. The model predicted a win for Northern Ireland (47 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.50 goals for Northern Ireland and 0.98 for Georgia. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 39 %. Over their last five matches, Northern Ireland took 10 points and Georgia 5 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Northern Ireland, 0 draws, 0 wins for Georgia. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Northern Ireland | 2.35 | 39 % | +11.6 % |
| XDraw | 2.95 | 31 % | -19.6 % |
| 2Georgia | 3.15 | 29 % | -20.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Northern Ireland
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Georgia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Northern Ireland
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Georgia
- Georgia0-1Northern Ireland
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Northern Ireland – Georgia?
Final score: Northern Ireland 0-0 Georgia. The model predicted a win for Northern Ireland (47 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Northern Ireland – Georgia?
Our model gives 1 · Northern Ireland a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Northern Ireland win 47 %, draw 27 %, Georgia win 25 %.