Bosnia-Herzegovina
Poland
Bosnia-Herzegovina – Poland
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 5, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 1-09 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.39 – 1.26
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1-0 Poland. The model predicted a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina (39 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.39 goals for Bosnia-Herzegovina and 1.26 for Poland. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 33 %. Over their last five matches, Bosnia-Herzegovina took 8 points and Poland 5 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Bosnia-Herzegovina, 1 draw, 0 wins for Poland. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bosnia-Herzegovina | 2.80 | 33 % | +7.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.35 | 28 % | -15.1 % |
| 2Poland | 2.35 | 39 % | -15.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Bosnia-Herzegovina
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Poland
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Bosnia-Herzegovina
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Poland
- Poland0-0Bosnia-Herzegovina
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Bosnia-Herzegovina – Poland?
Final score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1-0 Poland. The model predicted a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina (39 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Bosnia-Herzegovina – Poland?
Our model gives 1 · Bosnia-Herzegovina a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Bosnia-Herzegovina win 39 %, draw 25 %, Poland win 36 %.