Córdoba
Tenerife
Córdoba – Tenerife
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 4, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.52 – 0.96
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45 %
- Both teams to score
- 49 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Córdoba at home (51 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.52 goals for Córdoba and 0.96 for Tenerife. Bookmakers say the same thing: 48 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Córdoba took 3 points and Tenerife 5 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Córdoba, 0 draws, 0 wins for Tenerife. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Córdoba | 1.95 | 48 % | -1.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.50 | 27 % | -5.1 % |
| 2Tenerife | 3.70 | 25 % | -18.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Córdoba
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Tenerife
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Córdoba
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Tenerife
- Tenerife2-3Córdoba
- Córdoba3-0Tenerife
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Córdoba – Tenerife?
Our model gives 1 · Córdoba a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Córdoba win 51 %, draw 27 %, Tenerife win 22 %.
What is the most likely score for Córdoba – Tenerife?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.