Rwanda
Kenya
Rwanda – Kenya
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 5, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.49 – 0.90
The short version
Final score: Rwanda 0-0 Kenya. The model predicted a win for Rwanda (49 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.49 goals for Rwanda and 0.90 for Kenya. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 38 %. Over their last five matches, Rwanda took 12 points and Kenya 8 points. Over 2.5 goals: 43 %. Both teams to score: 46 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Rwanda | 2.50 | 38 % | +22.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.15 | 30 % | -12.7 % |
| 2Kenya | 2.90 | 32 % | -32.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Rwanda
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Kenya
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Rwanda – Kenya?
Final score: Rwanda 0-0 Kenya. The model predicted a win for Rwanda (49 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Rwanda – Kenya?
Our model gives 1 · Rwanda a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Rwanda win 49 %, draw 28 %, Kenya win 23 %.