Cyprus
Latvia
Cyprus – Latvia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 5, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.46 – 1.00
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Cyprus 2-1 Latvia. The model predicted a win for Cyprus (51 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.46 goals for Cyprus and 1.00 for Latvia. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 58 %. Over their last five matches, Cyprus took 8 points and Latvia 7 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Cyprus, 2 draws, 0 wins for Latvia. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Cyprus | 1.60 | 58 % | -18.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.70 | 25 % | -7.4 % |
| 2Latvia | 5.25 | 18 % | +26.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Cyprus
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Latvia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Cyprus
- 2 draws
- 0 wins
- Latvia
- Latvia0-0Cyprus
- Cyprus1-1Latvia
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Cyprus – Latvia?
Final score: Cyprus 2-1 Latvia. The model predicted a win for Cyprus (51 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Cyprus – Latvia?
Our model gives 1 · Cyprus a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Cyprus win 51 %, draw 25 %, Latvia win 24 %.