Nicaragua
Dominican Republic
Nicaragua – Dominican Republic
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 4, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 52 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.39 – 1.87
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Nicaragua 1-2 Dominican Republic. The model predicted a win for Dominican Republic (52 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.39 goals for Nicaragua and 1.87 for Dominican Republic. Bookmakers say the same thing: 55 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Nicaragua took 1 point and Dominican Republic 7 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Nicaragua, 1 draw, 1 win for Dominican Republic. Over 2.5 goals: 63 %. Both teams to score: 64 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Nicaragua | 4.40 | 21 % | +33.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.80 | 24 % | -32.5 % |
| 2Dominican Republic | 1.64 | 55 % | -14.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Nicaragua
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Dominican Republic
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Nicaragua
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Dominican Republic
- Dominican Republic3-2Nicaragua
- Nicaragua0-0Dominican Republic
- Dominican Republic0-2Nicaragua
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Nicaragua – Dominican Republic?
Final score: Nicaragua 1-2 Dominican Republic. The model predicted a win for Dominican Republic (52 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Nicaragua – Dominican Republic?
Our model gives 2 · Dominican Republic a 52 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Nicaragua win 30 %, draw 18 %, Dominican Republic win 52 %.