Aruba
Anguilla
Aruba – Anguilla
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 4, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 86 %
- Most likely score
- 3-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 3.49 – 0.72
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Aruba 3-2 Anguilla. The model predicted a win for Aruba (86 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 3-0. It expects 3.49 goals for Aruba and 0.72 for Anguilla. Bookmakers say the same thing: 86 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Aruba took 12 points and Anguilla no points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Aruba, 0 draws, 0 wins for Anguilla. Over 2.5 goals: 79 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Aruba | 1.05 | 86 % | -9.9 % |
| XDraw | 11.00 | 8 % | -9.7 % |
| 2Anguilla | 17.00 | 5 % | +2.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Aruba
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Anguilla
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Aruba
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Anguilla
- Anguilla0-2Aruba
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Aruba – Anguilla?
Final score: Aruba 3-2 Anguilla. The model predicted a win for Aruba (86 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Aruba – Anguilla?
Our model gives 1 · Aruba a 86 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Aruba win 86 %, draw 8 %, Anguilla win 6 %.