Bahamas
US Virgin Islands
Bahamas – US Virgin Islands
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 4, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 64 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.54 – 2.49
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Bahamas 2-3 US Virgin Islands. The model predicted a win for US Virgin Islands (64 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.54 goals for Bahamas and 2.49 for US Virgin Islands. Bookmakers say the same thing: 64 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Bahamas took no points and US Virgin Islands 9 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Bahamas, 1 draw, 1 win for US Virgin Islands. Over 2.5 goals: 77 %. Both teams to score: 72 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bahamas | 5.50 | 17 % | +29.1 % |
| XDraw | 4.60 | 20 % | -41.3 % |
| 2US Virgin Islands | 1.43 | 64 % | -8.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Bahamas
- Last 5 matches
- At home
US Virgin Islands
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Bahamas
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- US Virgin Islands
- US Virgin Islands3-1Bahamas
- Bahamas3-1US Virgin Islands
- US Virgin Islands3-3Bahamas
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Bahamas – US Virgin Islands?
Final score: Bahamas 2-3 US Virgin Islands. The model predicted a win for US Virgin Islands (64 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Bahamas – US Virgin Islands?
Our model gives 2 · US Virgin Islands a 64 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Bahamas win 23 %, draw 13 %, US Virgin Islands win 64 %.