Talleres (Córdoba)
Belgrano (Córdoba)
Talleres (Córdoba) – Belgrano (Córdoba)
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 3, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 0-113 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.01 – 1.15
- Over 2.5 goals
- 37 %
- Both teams to score
- 44 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Belgrano (Córdoba) away from home (38 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.01 goals for Talleres (Córdoba) and 1.15 for Belgrano (Córdoba). Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 31 %. Over their last five matches, Talleres (Córdoba) took 5 points and Belgrano (Córdoba) 6 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Talleres (Córdoba), 4 draws, 1 win for Belgrano (Córdoba). Over 2.5 goals: 37 %. Both teams to score: 44 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Talleres (Córdoba) | 2.50 | 37 % | -22.2 % |
| XDraw | 2.95 | 32 % | -8.0 % |
| 2Belgrano (Córdoba) | 3.00 | 31 % | +13.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Talleres (Córdoba)
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Belgrano (Córdoba)
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Talleres (Córdoba)
- 4 draws
- 1 win
- Belgrano (Córdoba)
- Talleres (Córdoba)0-1Belgrano (Córdoba)
- Belgrano (Córdoba)0-0Talleres (Córdoba)
- Talleres (Córdoba)0-0Belgrano (Córdoba)
- Belgrano (Córdoba)1-1Talleres (Córdoba)
- Talleres (Córdoba)0-0Belgrano (Córdoba)
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Talleres (Córdoba) – Belgrano (Córdoba)?
Our model gives 2 · Belgrano (Córdoba) a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Talleres (Córdoba) win 31 %, draw 31 %, Belgrano (Córdoba) win 38 %.
What is the most likely score for Talleres (Córdoba) – Belgrano (Córdoba)?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 13 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.