Wales
Denmark
Wales – Denmark
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 4, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 44 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.28 – 1.51
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Wales 0-1 Denmark. The model predicted a win for Denmark (44 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.28 goals for Wales and 1.51 for Denmark. Bookmakers say the same thing: 48 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Wales took 4 points and Denmark 7 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Wales, 0 draws, 1 win for Denmark. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Wales | 3.55 | 26 % | +12.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.55 | 26 % | -13.4 % |
| 2Denmark | 1.90 | 48 % | -16.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Wales
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Denmark
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Wales
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Denmark
- Denmark2-0Wales
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Wales – Denmark?
Final score: Wales 0-1 Denmark. The model predicted a win for Denmark (44 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Wales – Denmark?
Our model gives 2 · Denmark a 44 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Wales win 32 %, draw 24 %, Denmark win 44 %.