Greece
Germany
Greece – Germany
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 4, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 47 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.17 – 1.61
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Greece 0-0 Germany. The model predicted a win for Germany (47 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.17 goals for Greece and 1.61 for Germany. Bookmakers say the same thing: 51 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Greece took 8 points and Germany 5 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Greece, 0 draws, 1 win for Germany. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Greece | 3.80 | 24 % | +5.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.70 | 25 % | -8.0 % |
| 2Germany | 1.83 | 51 % | -13.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Greece
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Germany
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Greece
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Germany
- Germany0-1Greece
- Germany2-1Greece
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Greece – Germany?
Final score: Greece 0-0 Germany. The model predicted a win for Germany (47 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Greece – Germany?
Our model gives 2 · Germany a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Greece win 28 %, draw 25 %, Germany win 47 %.