Morocco
Mali
Morocco – Mali
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 3, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 67 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.88 – 0.74
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49 %
- Both teams to score
- 45 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Morocco at home (67 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.88 goals for Morocco and 0.74 for Mali. No odds are available for this match, so there is nothing to compare the model against. Over their last five matches, Morocco took 10 points and Mali 7 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Morocco, 1 draw, 0 wins for Mali. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 45 %.
What the market says
No odds available for this match.
Form and statistics
Morocco
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Mali
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Morocco
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Mali
- Morocco1-1Mali
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Morocco – Mali?
Our model gives 1 · Morocco a 67 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Morocco win 67 %, draw 21 %, Mali win 12 %.
What is the most likely score for Morocco – Mali?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 13 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.