Las Palmas
Real Valladolid
Las Palmas – Real Valladolid
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 4, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 57 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.65 – 0.87
The short version
Final score: Las Palmas 2-2 Real Valladolid. The model predicted a win for Las Palmas (57 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.65 goals for Las Palmas and 0.87 for Real Valladolid. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 42 %. Over their last five matches, Las Palmas took 4 points and Real Valladolid 8 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Las Palmas, 1 draw, 0 wins for Real Valladolid. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 47 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Las Palmas | 2.25 | 42 % | +27.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.30 | 29 % | -15.6 % |
| 2Real Valladolid | 3.25 | 29 % | -42.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Las Palmas
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Real Valladolid
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Las Palmas
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Real Valladolid
- Las Palmas2-1Real Valladolid
- Real Valladolid0-1Las Palmas
- Real Valladolid1-1Las Palmas
- Las Palmas2-1Real Valladolid
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Las Palmas – Real Valladolid?
Final score: Las Palmas 2-2 Real Valladolid. The model predicted a win for Las Palmas (57 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Las Palmas – Real Valladolid?
Our model gives 1 · Las Palmas a 57 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Las Palmas win 57 %, draw 26 %, Real Valladolid win 18 %.