Malta
Andorra
Malta – Andorra
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 4, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 61 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.65 – 0.87
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Malta 1-0 Andorra. The model predicted a win for Malta (61 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.65 goals for Malta and 0.87 for Andorra. Bookmakers say the same thing: 57 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Malta took 10 points and Andorra 4 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Malta, 1 draw, 0 wins for Andorra. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 47 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Malta | 1.62 | 57 % | -1.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.25 | 28 % | -29.3 % |
| 2Andorra | 6.00 | 15 % | +5.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Malta
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Andorra
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Malta
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Andorra
- Andorra1-2Malta
- Malta0-0Andorra
- Andorra0-1Malta
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Malta – Andorra?
Final score: Malta 1-0 Andorra. The model predicted a win for Malta (61 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Malta – Andorra?
Our model gives 1 · Malta a 61 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Malta win 61 %, draw 22 %, Andorra win 18 %.