Kosovo
Austria
Kosovo – Austria
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 3, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 45 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.14 – 1.47
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Austria away from home (45 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.14 goals for Kosovo and 1.47 for Austria. Bookmakers say the same thing: 45 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Kosovo took 7 points and Austria 8 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Kosovo, 0 draws, 1 win for Austria. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kosovo | 3.30 | 28 % | -7.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 27 % | -7.8 % |
| 2Austria | 2.05 | 45 % | -7.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Kosovo
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Austria
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Kosovo
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Austria
- Austria3-1Kosovo
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Kosovo – Austria?
Our model gives 2 · Austria a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Kosovo win 28 %, draw 27 %, Austria win 45 %.
What is the most likely score for Kosovo – Austria?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.