Kyrgyz Republic
Lebanon
Kyrgyz Republic – Lebanon
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 4, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.60 – 0.94
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Kyrgyz Republic 3-1 Lebanon. The model predicted a win for Kyrgyz Republic (51 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.60 goals for Kyrgyz Republic and 0.94 for Lebanon. Bookmakers say the same thing: 49 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Kyrgyz Republic took 5 points and Lebanon 10 points. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kyrgyz Republic | 1.95 | 49 % | -0.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.60 | 26 % | -8.1 % |
| 2Lebanon | 3.80 | 25 % | -10.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Kyrgyz Republic
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lebanon
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Kyrgyz Republic – Lebanon?
Final score: Kyrgyz Republic 3-1 Lebanon. The model predicted a win for Kyrgyz Republic (51 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Kyrgyz Republic – Lebanon?
Our model gives 1 · Kyrgyz Republic a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Kyrgyz Republic win 51 %, draw 26 %, Lebanon win 24 %.