Real Sociedad II
Granada
Real Sociedad II – Granada
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 3, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 36 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.27 – 1.25
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46 %
- Both teams to score
- 52 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Granada away from home (36 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.27 goals for Real Sociedad II and 1.25 for Granada. Bookmakers say the same thing: 35 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Real Sociedad II took 5 points and Granada 4 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Real Sociedad II, 0 draws, 2 wins for Granada. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Real Sociedad II | 2.55 | 37 % | -10.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.25 | 29 % | -4.9 % |
| 2Granada | 2.70 | 35 % | -3.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Real Sociedad II
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Granada
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Real Sociedad II
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Granada
- Real Sociedad II0-2Granada
- Granada5-2Real Sociedad II
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Real Sociedad II – Granada?
Our model gives 2 · Granada a 36 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Real Sociedad II win 35 %, draw 29 %, Granada win 36 %.
What is the most likely score for Real Sociedad II – Granada?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.