Newell's Old Boys
Lanús
Newell's Old Boys – Lanús
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 3, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 34 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.07 – 1.07
The short version
Final score: Newell's Old Boys 0-0 Lanús. The model predicted a win for Newell's Old Boys (34 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.07 goals for Newell's Old Boys and 1.07 for Lanús. Bookmakers say the same thing: 34 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Newell's Old Boys took 9 points and Lanús 10 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Newell's Old Boys, 0 draws, 1 win for Lanús. Over 2.5 goals: 36 %. Both teams to score: 44 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Newell's Old Boys | 2.75 | 34 % | -7.0 % |
| XDraw | 2.95 | 32 % | -2.0 % |
| 2Lanús | 2.80 | 34 % | -7.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Newell's Old Boys
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lanús
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Newell's Old Boys
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Lanús
- Lanús5-0Newell's Old Boys
- Newell's Old Boys2-1Lanús
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Newell's Old Boys – Lanús?
Final score: Newell's Old Boys 0-0 Lanús. The model predicted a win for Newell's Old Boys (34 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Newell's Old Boys – Lanús?
Our model gives 1 · Newell's Old Boys a 34 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Newell's Old Boys win 34 %, draw 33 %, Lanús win 33 %.