Cuiabá
Ponte Preta
Cuiabá – Ponte Preta
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 3, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 81 %
- Most likely score
- 2-015 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.45 – 0.54
The short version
Final score: Cuiabá 2-0 Ponte Preta. The model predicted a win for Cuiabá (81 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.45 goals for Cuiabá and 0.54 for Ponte Preta. Bookmakers say the same thing: 81 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Cuiabá took 7 points and Ponte Preta 3 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Cuiabá, 0 draws, 0 wins for Ponte Preta. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 38 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Cuiabá | 1.17 | 81 % | -5.3 % |
| XDraw | 7.50 | 13 % | +2.5 % |
| 2Ponte Preta | 15.00 | 6 % | -19.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Cuiabá
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Ponte Preta
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Cuiabá
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Ponte Preta
- Ponte Preta1-2Cuiabá
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Cuiabá – Ponte Preta?
Final score: Cuiabá 2-0 Ponte Preta. The model predicted a win for Cuiabá (81 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Cuiabá – Ponte Preta?
Our model gives 1 · Cuiabá a 81 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Cuiabá win 81 %, draw 14 %, Ponte Preta win 5 %.