Atlético Goianiense
América Mineiro
Atlético Goianiense – América Mineiro
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 3, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 64 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.87 – 0.75
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Atlético Goianiense 2-0 América Mineiro. The model predicted a win for Atlético Goianiense (64 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.87 goals for Atlético Goianiense and 0.75 for América Mineiro. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 71 %. Over their last five matches, Atlético Goianiense took 10 points and América Mineiro 3 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Atlético Goianiense, 0 draws, 1 win for América Mineiro. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 45 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Atlético Goianiense | 1.33 | 71 % | -14.7 % |
| XDraw | 5.00 | 19 % | +17.0 % |
| 2América Mineiro | 9.00 | 10 % | +12.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Atlético Goianiense
- Last 5 matches
- At home
América Mineiro
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Atlético Goianiense
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- América Mineiro
- América Mineiro1-2Atlético Goianiense
- Atlético Goianiense1-0América Mineiro
- América Mineiro2-1Atlético Goianiense
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Atlético Goianiense – América Mineiro?
Final score: Atlético Goianiense 2-0 América Mineiro. The model predicted a win for Atlético Goianiense (64 %): correct prediction.