Ivory Coast
Cameroon
Ivory Coast – Cameroon
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 2, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 63 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.74 – 0.81
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47 %
- Both teams to score
- 46 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Ivory Coast at home (63 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.74 goals for Ivory Coast and 0.81 for Cameroon. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 50 %. Over their last five matches, Ivory Coast took 9 points and Cameroon 7 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Ivory Coast, 1 draw, 0 wins for Cameroon. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 46 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Ivory Coast | 1.86 | 50 % | +16.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.25 | 29 % | -27.1 % |
| 2Cameroon | 4.40 | 21 % | -35.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Ivory Coast
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Cameroon
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Ivory Coast
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Cameroon
- Ivory Coast1-1Cameroon
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Ivory Coast – Cameroon?
Our model gives 1 · Ivory Coast a 63 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Ivory Coast win 63 %, draw 22 %, Cameroon win 15 %.
What is the most likely score for Ivory Coast – Cameroon?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 13 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.