Spain
Czechia
Spain – Czechia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 3, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 85 %
- Most likely score
- 3-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 3.11 – 0.60
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Spain 3-1 Czechia. The model predicted a win for Spain (85 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 3-0. It expects 3.11 goals for Spain and 0.60 for Czechia. Bookmakers say the same thing: 87 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Spain took 15 points and Czechia 1 point. Over 2.5 goals: 72 %. Both teams to score: 43 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Spain | 1.06 | 87 % | -10.2 % |
| XDraw | 11.00 | 8 % | +19.7 % |
| 2Czechia | 21.00 | 4 % | -8.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Spain
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Czechia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Spain – Czechia?
Final score: Spain 3-1 Czechia. The model predicted a win for Spain (85 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Spain – Czechia?
Our model gives 1 · Spain a 85 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Spain win 85 %, draw 11 %, Czechia win 4 %.