North Macedonia
Scotland
North Macedonia – Scotland
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 3, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 0-113 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.95 – 1.51
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: North Macedonia 0-2 Scotland. The model predicted a win for Scotland (51 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 0.95 goals for North Macedonia and 1.51 for Scotland. Bookmakers say the same thing: 53 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, North Macedonia took 2 points and Scotland 4 points. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1North Macedonia | 4.70 | 20 % | +10.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.40 | 27 % | -12.7 % |
| 2Scotland | 1.74 | 53 % | -11.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
North Macedonia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Scotland
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of North Macedonia – Scotland?
Final score: North Macedonia 0-2 Scotland. The model predicted a win for Scotland (51 %): correct prediction.
Who will win North Macedonia – Scotland?
Our model gives 2 · Scotland a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: North Macedonia win 23 %, draw 26 %, Scotland win 51 %.