CD Sabadell
FC Andorra
CD Sabadell – FC Andorra
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 2, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 46 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.39 – 1.13
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46 %
- Both teams to score
- 51 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards CD Sabadell at home (46 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.39 goals for CD Sabadell and 1.13 for FC Andorra. Bookmakers say the same thing: 45 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, CD Sabadell took 10 points and FC Andorra 3 points. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1CD Sabadell | 2.10 | 45 % | -2.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.15 | 30 % | -11.2 % |
| 2FC Andorra | 3.65 | 26 % | -7.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
CD Sabadell
- Last 5 matches
- At home
FC Andorra
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win CD Sabadell – FC Andorra?
Our model gives 1 · CD Sabadell a 46 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: CD Sabadell win 46 %, draw 28 %, FC Andorra win 25 %.
What is the most likely score for CD Sabadell – FC Andorra?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.