Cádiz
Leganés
Cádiz – Leganés
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 3, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.20 – 1.12
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Cádiz 4-0 Leganés. The model predicted a win for Cádiz (37 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.20 goals for Cádiz and 1.12 for Leganés. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 32 %. Over their last five matches, Cádiz took 2 points and Leganés 7 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Cádiz, 1 draw, 0 wins for Leganés. Over 2.5 goals: 41 %. Both teams to score: 47 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Cádiz | 3.00 | 32 % | +10.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.10 | 31 % | -3.5 % |
| 2Leganés | 2.50 | 38 % | -19.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Cádiz
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Leganés
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Cádiz
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Leganés
- Cádiz3-0Leganés
- Leganés1-1Cádiz
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Cádiz – Leganés?
Final score: Cádiz 4-0 Leganés. The model predicted a win for Cádiz (37 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Cádiz – Leganés?
Our model gives 1 · Cádiz a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Cádiz win 37 %, draw 31 %, Leganés win 32 %.