Finland
Albania
Finland – Albania
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 3, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 44 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.38 – 1.11
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Finland 2-1 Albania. The model predicted a win for Finland (44 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.38 goals for Finland and 1.11 for Albania. Bookmakers say the same thing: 39 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Finland took 5 points and Albania 6 points. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Finland | 2.35 | 39 % | +2.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.10 | 30 % | -16.8 % |
| 2Albania | 3.00 | 31 % | -11.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Finland
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Albania
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Finland – Albania?
Final score: Finland 2-1 Albania. The model predicted a win for Finland (44 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Finland – Albania?
Our model gives 1 · Finland a 44 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Finland win 44 %, draw 27 %, Albania win 30 %.